Natalism and fertility

Won’t somebody think of the unconceived children?

December 6, 2024 — April 2, 2025

economics
ethics
gene
incentive mechanisms
institutions
mind
Figure 1

Pro- and anti-natalism discussions are interesting.

I do not have policy agendas regarding these issues, merely questions.

1 What is an ethics that trades off the interests of children and parents?

TBC

1.1 Birth as a transformative experience

Having kids makes you into a different person, quite literally. How should you think about the person you will become? This is the problem of transformative experiences.

2 Is the best way to protect children to prevent them?

Incorporating population growth and safetyism.

Our societally-implied preferences on this issue are probably not consistent. There are arguments that we prefer to spend huge amounts of money on saving existing lives at the expense of potential ones; e.g. seatbelt maximalism has been argued to prevent more births than it saves lives (Nickerson and Solomon 2020). Cf think of the children.

3 Practical economics of children

Why is the birth rate tanking? Is that bad? There might be many things going on here, but my first guess is that it is a rational response to the increasing cost of raising children.

4 Longtermism

I have no interesting opinions about longtermism at the moment, but it is a relevant topic for natalism. Longtermists are presumably pro-natalist.

5 Incoming

Figure 2

“Maybe the low fertility rate here is because people are smart. The risk-free asset in a diversified portfolio is zero kid.”

6 References

Bailey, Currie, and Schwandt. 2022. The Covid-19 Baby Bump: The Unexpected Increase in U.S. Fertility Rates in Response to the Pandemic.” w30569.
Nickerson, and Solomon. 2020. Car Seats as Contraception.” SSRN Electronic Journal.